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Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's Law?
Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's Law? Rick Kamen 8 Views • 5 years ago

My book is cheap at Waterstones and signed at Maths Gear:
https://www.waterstones.com/bo....ok/humble-pi/matt-pa
https://mathsgear.co.uk/produc....ts/humble-pi-signed-

Check out Steve Mould's Numberphile video about Benford's Law.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XXjlR2OK1kM

Buy a signed copy of "How Many Socks Make a Pair?" by Rob Eastaway.
https://mathsgear.co.uk/produc....ts/copy-of-signed-co

There’s more on Mark Nigrini’s work here:
http://www.nigrini.com/benfords-law/

"Benford's Law and the Detection of Election Fraud" 2011 paper.
https://www.cambridge.org/core..../journals/political-

And for balance, here is a paper critical of that other paper (but only in the use of a 'second digit' check and they do not dispute the main Benford's Law claims.). https://pdfs.semanticscholar.o....rg/e667/b8ad9f589928
And here is a paper by the same author specifically about the 2020 US election results:
http://www-personal.umich.edu/~wmebane/inapB.pdf

Get your Chicago Board of Election Commissioners data here!
https://chicagoelections.gov/en/election-results.asp?election=251&race=11

Yep, 2069 precincts. Some would say that's too many.
https://data.cityofchicago.org..../Facilities-Geograph

If you must, here are links to people using Benford's Law to suggest the Biden votes were fraudulent. Please do no harass or brigade anyone.
https://github.com/cjph8914/20....20_benfords/blob/mai
https://jonsnewplace.wordpress.....com/2020/11/07/joe-

CORRECTIONS
- Hello loyal viewer. If you are reading this you most likely regularly watch my videos and know that I put corrections here. But the comment section on this video has been, to put it lightly, "wild". I don't think anyone is checking the corrections here! So I'm going to break with tradition and put the corrections in a pinned comment. But in short:
- I should have said I used the Chicago data (instead of a swing state, let's say) because that is what people claiming election fraud were using. I didn't pick it myself to make a point.
- Foolishly I cut a bit of the video where I talk about how Trump's data is also a bad Benford fit but that massive spike of 1s makes it look like a good match. Check out how low 3, 4 and 5 are.
- There has been specific criticism of aspects of that paper I read from, but only the usual back-and-forth of academics. Everyone agrees with the idea that Benford is not a magic tool to detect election fraud (nor is any statistical tool really; they all require careful interpretation).
- As always, let me know if you spot any other mistakes.

Thanks to my Patreon supporters who mean I can spend TWO DAYS trawling through election stats and making plots. I'm meant to be writing a new book you know. So, thanks a lot.

https://www.patreon.com/standupmaths

As always: thanks to Jane Street who support my channel. They're amazing.
https://www.janestreet.com/

Filming and editing by Matt Parker
Music by Howard Carter
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MATT PARKER: Stand-up Mathematician
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Laura Ingraham: Nothing Kamala Harris said tracks with her own record
Laura Ingraham: Nothing Kamala Harris said tracks with her own record Rick Kamen 33 Views • 2 years ago

Fox News host Laura Ingraham calls out the vice president's leadership as she hopes to secure the DNC nomination on 'The Ingraham Angle.'

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Fox News
Fox News Rick Kamen 9 Views • 5 years ago

--Fox News' Lou Dobbs interviews a supposed witness to voter fraud in Michigan, Mellissa Carone, and it goes horribly and hilariously wrong
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Trump Star Voter Fraud Witness: All Chinese People Look Alike
Trump Star Voter Fraud Witness: All Chinese People Look Alike Rick Kamen 16 Views • 5 years ago

Shocker, a witness in Trump's voter fraud case in Michigan is racist. Ana Kasparian and Cenk Uygur discuss on The Young Turks. Keep Hope (and TYT) Alive: http://tyt.com/go

Read More: https://www.washingtonpost.com..../nation/2020/12/03/m

"Weeks after Melissa Carone was tapped by the Trump campaign as a witness in Michigan, little appeared to be going as planned with the contract IT worker’s testimony — an unverified series of claims about ballot fraud at Detroit’s vote-counting center."*

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Inaccurate Voter Registration Lists Could Contribute to Voter Fraud | Hans von Spakovsky
Inaccurate Voter Registration Lists Could Contribute to Voter Fraud | Hans von Spakovsky Rick Kamen 11 Views • 5 years ago

Hans von Spakovsky joined Fox Business on November 10, 2020, to discuss Pres. Trump's election lawsuits.

Learn more about this issue:
https://www.foxnews.com/opinio....n/von-spakovsky-smit

Hans von Spakovsky is an authority on a wide range of issues – including civil rights, civil justice, the First Amendment, immigration, the rule of law and government reform -- as a senior legal fellow in The Heritage Foundation’s Edwin Meese III Center for Legal and Judicial Studies. As manager of the think tank’s Election Law Reform Initiative, von Spakovsky also studies and writes about campaign finance restrictions, voter fraud and voter ID, enforcement of federal voting rights laws, administration of elections and voting equipment standards.

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